G10 Macro Rates: April Monthly Commentary

< 1 minute read timeSo much of the last 6 months has seen flows reverse direction from the prior month, April was no exception. The fear of financial contagion in March was replaced by calm and consistent Central Bank messaging from the Fed, ECB and BoE regarding financial stability and inflation focus. This led to markets backing up yields […]

G10 Macro Rates: March Monthly Commentary

2 minutes read timeSomething finally broke, in fact a few things did. March was dominated by record deposit withdrawals after the demise of a few banks, some American and one Swiss. The gist being that 475bp of tightening in a little over a year by the US Federal Reserve had not been a common scenario for risk models. […]

G10 Macro Rates: February Monthly Commentary

< 1 minute read timeG10 central banks didn’t have to push back against the rapid easing of financial conditions in January,the data did it for them. The widely held expectation of softening inflation numbers repeatedly failed toeventuate, including the core PCE in the US, a data point specifically focussed on by the US Fed Chair. As aresult, over February, […]

G10 Macro Rates: January Monthly Commentary

< 1 minute read timeAfter a rare negative underperformance of both bonds and equities in 2022, January 2023 bounced backwith vengeance. The question now being asked, is whether this momentum can be maintained as the market is now pricing the goldilocks’ soft-landing scenario driven by immaculate disinflation. G10 central banks are closing in on their end of cycle rate targets, […]

G10 Macro Rates: December Monthly Commentary

< 1 minute read timeDecember continued the trend of the previous month. Inflation data softened further, and with it a softening of the narrative for outsized hikes. The one exception being the ECB President Lagarde explicitly spelling out at least two more 50bp hikes, catching the market on the hop. China’s reopening is an oxymoron at this stage as […]

G10 Macro Rates: Kepler UCITS Forum

< 1 minute read timePacific Asset Management was delighted to host clients in person and online last week on the topic of longevity and social change.

G10 Macro Rates Blog – Walking the Credibility Tightrope

News Image – 25@2x

3 minutes read timeTheir rhetoric has hardened further this year to stern language about normalising rates, controlling inflation expectations, and quickening QE tapering. As consumer savings and incomes continue to be eroded by accelerating price increases, the policy makers reaction has been accelerating too. The Bank of England followed the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and increased interest […]